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Investors realise Trump’s pause was not the salvation it appeared

John Thomas April 12, 2025
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In recent weeks, investors have been reassessing the impact of former President Donald Trump’s temporary halt on certain policies. Initially, many believed this pause would provide a much-needed breather for the markets, allowing for stability and growth. However, as time has passed, it has become clear that this expectation may have been overly optimistic.

SO FAR THIS year China has imported ten American films, including the zany “A Minecraft Movie”. But there is a limit to how much American drama anyone can stand. After President Donald Trump’s latest plot-twist—lowering the “reciprocal” tariff on most countries to 10%, while raising it on China to 125%—the China Film Administration stepped in. It said it would cut the number of Hollywood productions screened in the mainland. After all, Mr Trump’s tariffs would diminish the Chinese audience’s “favourable perception of American films”, it said.

The pause, which was seen as a chance for the economy to recover from previous disruptions, has not led to the anticipated positive outcomes. Instead, uncertainty continues to loom over various sectors, including trade and technology. Investors are now grappling with the reality that the challenges facing the economy are more complex than a simple pause can resolve.

Market analysts suggest that the lack of clear direction from political leaders has contributed to this ongoing uncertainty. Many investors are now adopting a more cautious approach, focusing on companies that demonstrate resilience in the face of changing policies. This shift in strategy reflects a growing awareness that relying solely on political decisions may not be enough to ensure financial success.

As the situation evolves, investors are urged to stay informed and adaptable. The economic landscape remains unpredictable, and those who can navigate these changes may find opportunities amidst the challenges.

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Previous: From Trade War to Cold War? A Dangerous Shift Is Underway in China-US Relations
Next: Reset Pax Americana: the West needs a grand accord

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